Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 137.244403 150.952491 164.993355 180.422988 196.874807 213.864666 232.708871
2025-01-26 116.534272 137.140379 159.249658 184.617729 212.800390 243.032526 277.795764
2025-02-02 100.246711 125.753682 154.325714 188.405948 227.647815 271.122768 322.626829
2025-02-09 88.000325 117.195866 151.222430 193.241563 243.157433 299.994922 369.021757
2025-02-16 77.950299 109.865245 148.461937 197.650014 257.720710 327.769586 414.661742
2025-02-23 64.865380 97.199769 137.871587 191.423941 258.682728 338.991523 440.693427
2025-03-02 55.331094 87.930542 130.484438 188.221233 262.585674 353.253216 470.157531
2025-03-09 48.700000 81.750584 126.386191 188.597687 270.519475 372.221798 505.382248
2025-03-16 43.636486 77.154035 123.880847 190.626482 280.283577 393.382723 543.466905
2025-03-23 40.854457 75.536304 125.207690 197.626230 296.503146 422.859593 592.353162
2025-03-30 37.556777 72.752974 124.580312 201.723002 308.778571 447.348032 635.194739
2025-04-06 33.269924 67.935293 120.585076 200.746933 313.961849 462.515908 666.154462
2025-04-13 29.365865 63.392628 116.761511 199.915177 319.442496 478.415763 698.737564
2025-04-20 27.674723 62.406678 118.253896 206.808648 335.792389 509.074772 751.173490
2025-04-27 25.821977 60.929290 118.839169 212.305627 350.251036 537.424801 801.015009
2025-05-04 24.265599 59.801055 119.850669 218.384995 365.589962 567.152742 853.061374
2025-05-11 22.692801 58.457758 120.382217 223.670705 379.830677 595.556645 903.698342
2025-05-18 19.188382 52.924769 113.531448 217.118787 376.503481 599.542162 921.361622
2025-05-25 16.628938 48.910997 108.913763 213.756379 377.614683 609.535166 947.137273
2025-06-01 14.925664 46.454671 106.807593 214.253801 384.394562 627.489405 983.941878
2025-06-08 13.634677 44.722762 105.852706 216.527854 393.833220 649.280976 1026.243847
2025-06-15 13.148204 44.772700 108.145776 224.231292 411.701681 683.337444 1085.935929
2025-06-22 12.302218 43.857331 108.555877 228.737021 424.676138 710.496470 1136.287768